General Election

Tories on course for majority government, says latest poll

Boris Johnson

Stay calm: Boris Johnson tipped for return to Number 10

Boris Johnson is on course to lead a the new parliament with a 38 seat majority, according to a new poll published on Sunday.

A Datapraxis poll predicts that the Conservatives will win 344 seats, with Labour taking 221.

“This is down on the 48 seat majority predicted two weeks ago, but may would still be enough to encourage the markets and potentially unleash a wall of investment that has been held back because of ongoing uncertainty.

A YouGov poll for The Sunday Times showed ahead of Thursday’s national election, also gives the Conservatives a healthy lead.

Support for Mr Johnson’s party is at 43%, while Labour is on 33%.

However, a poll for The Sunday Telegraph shows the gap narrowing to eight points from 10.

Savanta ComRes puts the Conservatives on 41%, down one point from a survey published on Wednesday, while Labour is one point higher at 33%.

Recent statements from business leaders and analysts say that a Tory majority would bring some stability to the market.

The latest polling comes amid a growing row over the alleged intervention of Russia in the leaking of documents on UK-US trade negotiations.

Labour claims the documents show the NHS would be at risk under a post-Brexit trade deal with the US.

On Friday, forum website Reddit said unredacted documents were uploaded as “part of a campaign that has been reported as originating from Russia”.

The government said it was looking into the matter with help from the National Cyber Security Centre.

The SNP’s Ian Blackford said it is more important than ever to vote SNP to lock Boris Johnson out of No 10 – after a series of six polls revealed only the SNP can beat the Tories in Scotland, four days out from the election.

The Datapraxis, Panelbase, YouGov, Deltapoll, Opinium, and Savanta ComRes polls all suggest that the SNP will be the main challenger to the Tories in Scotland, with Labour and the Lib Dems too weak to take on the Tories, and the SNP likely to hold the balance of power in the event of a hung Parliament.

The Panelbase poll for the Sunday Times Scotland, also found a majority of 51% would support independence if the UK leaves the EU.

However, a YouGov poll suggests support for leaving the UK has fallen to 44%.

The poll for The Times shows that 56 per of people on Scotland want to remain in the UK.

The findings come despite a relentless campaign from the SNP to break up the UK.

Sir John Curtice, the country’s leading polling expert, told The Times that the fall ‘appears to have happened among both those that voted Remain and those that backed Leave in the 2016 [EU] referendum’.

The poll mirrors recent studies, including one from the anti-UK Progress Scotland group, which found significant numbers of former ‘Yes’ voters now want to remain in the UK.

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