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As inflation edges higher..

Scottish economy outgrew UK in final quarter of 2018

St James development Edinburgh

Activity has increased in Scotland (pic of St James development in Edinburgh by Terry Murden)


The Scottish economy outgrew the UK in the last three months of last year, the eighth consecutive quarter of growth, according to statistics announced today by Scotland’s chief statistician.

Gross domestic product in Scotland rose 0.3% in the fourth quarter, compared to a UK rate of 0.2%. Over the year, compared to the fourth quarter of 2017, the Scottish economy has grown by 1.3%.

During the fourth quarter output in the services sector grew by 0.5%, while production contracted by 0.9% and output in the construction sector grew by 0.8%.

The second estimate for the period will be published on 1 May. The first estimate of Scotland’s GDP for 2019 Quarter 1 will be published on 19 June.

Economy Secretary Derek Mackay said: “With eight consecutive quarters of growth and record low unemployment – down to 3.4%, the lowest in the UK – Scotland’s economy continues to go from strength to strength.

“Growing our economy and supporting businesses and jobs is a top priority for the Scottish Government. We have provided more than £5 billion of capital investment to grow and modernise Scotland’s infrastructure, and a wider package of support to businesses including maintaining a competitive business rates package and providing the most generous package of non-domestic rates reliefs anywhere in the UK.

“However, the UK’s EU exit remains the biggest threat to our economic stability. All forms of exit will cost jobs, make people poorer, damage our society and undermine the democratic decision of the people of Scotland to remain in the EU.”

Inflation edges higher

Consumer price inflation edged higher in February to 1.9% from 1.8% in January, according to the Office for National Statistics.

Tom Stevenson, investment director for Personal Investing at Fidelity International, said: The Bank of England can sit on its hands again this week, safe in the knowledge that inflation remains under its 2% target.

“Prices edged higher in February, up by 1.9% as lower price rises than last year in clothing and footwear offset upward pressure from food, alcohol and tobacco.

“Yesterday, the unemployment rate fell to a 44 year low of 3.9% and reported wages rose by 3.4%. Together with apparently subdued inflation, that continues to paint a rosy picture of the UK economy ahead of the Bank of England’s rate decision tomorrow. But with the twists and turns of the Brexit saga becoming ever more unpredictable, any change in interest rates looks increasingly unlikely.”

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